So, Count Siro, the first step to develop better judgement on complex works is to distinguish between performance, output and outcome. Measure them separately, establishing clear objectives for each.

When performance falls below expectations, few excuses beyond competence and effort are to be found.

When output is not delivered, excessive ambition or incapacity to adapt are typically at the root.

When outcomes fail, typically wrong assumptions are to blame.

There is still much to say, Count Siro, about these ideas but I'm already at 8 and it's time for me to leave.

—Your stories always captivate me, dear Patronius, and I find my mind spinning fast as you introduce new perspectives. Let me give them a deeper consideration let's expand on your next visit.

—It will be my pleasure, Count.